Marlins at Cardinals

Scoreboard

MIA1–STL2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · MIA 44-40 · STL 43-38

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0
STL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	·	2	6	0

Last play · Javier Sanoja grounds out to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Win probability

Cardinals100%

MIA 0%STL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 1 – 2 STL

Cardinals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 9.5

fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+104 / -125

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Bryan Torres homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 2) — +20% Cardinals

Scoring plays

MIA–STL · 2 total

5Graham Pauley hits a ground-rule double (8) on a line drive down the right-field line. Owen Caissie scores.1–2

2Bryan Torres homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.