Brewers at Cardinals

Scoreboard

MIL8–STL4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · MIL 59-34 · STL 48-44

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIL	0	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	8	11	0
STL	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	4	5	0

Last play · Nathan Church grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

MIL 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIL 6 – 1 STL

Brewers led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 49% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-126 / +104

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jordan Walker homers (22) on a fly ball to left field. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson scores. (inning 6) — +19% Cardinals

Scoring plays

MIL–STL · 8 total

9William Contreras out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Jackson Chourio scores.8–4

7Brice Turang homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.7–4

6Jordan Walker homers (22) on a fly ball to left field. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson scores.6–4

4Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Alec Burleson scores.6–1

3Jake Bauers homers (17) on a line drive to right field. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang scores.6–0

3Brice Turang singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Garrett Mitchell scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd.3–0

2Cooper Pratt singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Andrew Vaughn scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.2–0

2Sal Frelick singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Jake Bauers scores. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.