Rockies at Cardinals
Last play · TJ Rumfield lines out to left fielder Everson Pereira.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
COL 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+147 / -158
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · JJ Wetherholt doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Masyn Winn scores. Nathan Church scores. JJ Wetherholt to 3rd. JJ Wetherholt advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by center fielder Cole Carrigg. (inning 8) — +34% Cardinals
8Iván Herrera singles on a line drive to center fielder Cole Carrigg. JJ Wetherholt scores.4–7
8JJ Wetherholt doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Masyn Winn scores. Nathan Church scores. JJ Wetherholt to 3rd. JJ Wetherholt advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by center fielder Cole Carrigg.4–6
8Hunter Goodman homers (34) on a fly ball to left field.4–4
6Brett Sullivan homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Willi Castro scores.3–4
5Alec Burleson homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
3Masyn Winn doubles (16) on a line drive to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Alec Burleson scores.1–3
3Jimmy Crooks out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson to 3rd.1–2
1Jordan Walker singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
