Orioles at Cardinals

Scoreboard

BAL8–STL7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · BAL 65-68 · STL 66-68

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	13	0
STL	0	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	7	11	0

Last play · José Fermín pops out to second baseman Jackson Holliday.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

BAL 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 7 – 7 STL

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-106 / -101

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Luis Vázquez scores. (inning 9) — -34% Orioles

Scoring plays

BAL–STL · 8 total

9Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Luis Vázquez scores.8–7

5José Fermín grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Samuel Basallo. Nathan Church scores.7–7

5Nathan Church doubles (11) on a fly ball to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Alec Burleson scores. Jordan Walker scores.7–6

5Jordan Walker doubles (29) on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Iván Herrera scores. Alec Burleson to 3rd.7–4

5Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Colton Cowser. Bryan Torres scores. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.7–3

2Nolan Gorman homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.7–1

2Pete Alonso homers (32) on a fly ball to right field. Carlos Narváez scores.7–0

1Leody Taveras homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Christian Encarnacion-Strand scores. Dylan Beavers scores.5–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.