Pirates at Cardinals

Scoreboard

PIT6–STL2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · PIT 66-71 · STL 68-69

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	1	6	11	3
STL	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	1

Last play · Ramón Urías strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

PIT 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 5 – 1 STL

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+114 / -123

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Rafael Flores Jr. homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz scores. (inning 5) — -29% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–STL · 6 total

9Nick Gonzales doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Joshua Báez. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.6–2

6José Fermín reaches on a fielding error by center fielder Oneil Cruz. Jordan Walker scores. Nathan Church to 3rd. José Fermín to 2nd.5–2

5Rafael Flores Jr. homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz scores.5–1

4Jacob Gonzalez singles on a line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Jake Mangum scores.2–1

3Joshua Báez homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–1

1Brandon Lowe homers (28) on a fly ball to right field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.