Reds at Rays

Scoreboard

CIN6–TB1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · CIN 15-8 · TB 12-10

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CIN	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	6	10	0
TB	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0

Last play · Chandler Simpson lines out to first baseman Sal Stewart.

Win probability

Rays0%

CIN 100%TB 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CIN 3 – 1 TB

Reds led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+104 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓

Biggest swing · Sal Stewart homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Matt McLain scores. (inning 1) — -21% Reds

Scoring plays

CIN–TB · 5 total

7Nick Fortes challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Eugenio Suárez called out on strikes.6–1

6Rece Hinds doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Eugenio Suárez scores. Spencer Steer scores.5–1

3Elly De La Cruz singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain to 2nd.3–1

1Yandy Díaz walks. Chandler Simpson scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.2–1

1Sal Stewart homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Matt McLain scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.