Twins at Rays

Scoreboard

MIN2–TB6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · MIN 12-14 · TB 14-11

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	9	0
TB	1	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	·	6	7	0

Last play · Trevor Larnach grounds out, first baseman Jonathan Aranda to pitcher Bryan Baker.

Win probability

Rays100%

MIN 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 1 – 3 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -143

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Chandler Simpson grounds out to first baseman Kody Clemens. Nick Fortes scores. (inning 3) — +12% Rays

Scoring plays

MIN–TB · 7 total

9Royce Lewis homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.2–6

7Junior Caminero homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Chandler Simpson scores.1–6

6Jonathan Aranda homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.1–4

5Brooks Lee homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–3

4Jonathan Aranda homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.0–3

3Chandler Simpson grounds out to first baseman Kody Clemens. Nick Fortes scores.0–2

1Junior Caminero homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.