Twins at Rays

Scoreboard

MIN2–TB4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · MIN 12-16 · TB 16-11

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	5	1
TB	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	·	4	9	1

Last play · James Outman grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Win probability

Rays100%

MIN 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 0 – 4 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -143

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda singles on a line drive to center fielder James Outman. Hunter Feduccia scores. Chandler Simpson scores. (inning 3) — +23% Rays

Scoring plays

MIN–TB · 3 total

7Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Brooks Lee homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. James Outman scores.2–4

3Yandy Díaz homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Jonathan Aranda scores.0–4

3Jonathan Aranda singles on a line drive to center fielder James Outman. Hunter Feduccia scores. Chandler Simpson scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.