Marlins at Rays

Scoreboard

MIA3–TB6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · MIA 21-26 · TB 30-15

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	11	1
TB	1	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	·	6	7	0

Last play · Otto Lopez pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.

Win probability

Rays100%

MIA 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 2 – 5 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 48% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+123 / -149

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Taylor Walls triples (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Jonny DeLuca scores. Cedric Mullins scores. Nick Fortes scores. (inning 4) — +38% Rays

Scoring plays

MIA–TB · 7 total

8Kyle Stowers singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Otto Lopez scores.3–6

6Junior Caminero walks. Cedric Mullins scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd. Chandler Simpson to 2nd.2–6

5Yandy Díaz homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.2–5

4Taylor Walls triples (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Jonny DeLuca scores. Cedric Mullins scores. Nick Fortes scores.2–4

3Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Xavier Edwards scores.2–1

3Xavier Edwards singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Owen Caissie scores.1–1

1Junior Caminero homers (12) on a line drive to left field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.