Marlins at Rays

Scoreboard

MIA10–TB5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · MIA 21-25 · TB 29-15

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	8	10	15	4
TB	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	10	1

Last play · Jonny DeLuca flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

Win probability

Rays0%

MIA 100%TB 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 0 – 1 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 49% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+113 / -136

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Liam Hicks singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Esteury Ruiz scores. Joe Mack scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd. (inning 10) — -44% Marlins

Scoring plays

MIA–TB · 8 total

10Jonathan Aranda doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Junior Caminero scores.10–5

10Junior Caminero doubles (4) on a fly ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Taylor Walls scores. Chandler Simpson scores.10–4

10Marlins challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Esteury Ruiz singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Javier Sanoja scores. Esteury Ruiz out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Chandler Simpson to third baseman Junior Caminero to second baseman Richie Palacios.10–2

10Javier Sanoja doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Kyle Stowers scores. Connor Norby scores. Jakob Marsee scores.9–2

10Connor Norby singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Liam Hicks scores. Kyle Stowers to 2nd.6–2

10Otto Lopez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Xavier Edwards scores. Liam Hicks to 2nd.5–2

10Liam Hicks singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Esteury Ruiz scores. Joe Mack scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd.4–2

9Nick Fortes singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández, deflected by third baseman Javier Sanoja. Cedric Mullins scores.2–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.