Orioles at Rays

Scoreboard

BAL1–TB4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · BAL 21-28 · TB 32-15

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0
TB	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	·	4	7	0

Last play · Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Rays100%

BAL 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 1 – 1 TB

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-101 / -120

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Yandy Díaz homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — +26% Rays

Scoring plays

BAL–TB · 5 total

8Jonny DeLuca singles on a fly ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Richie Palacios scores.1–4

8Richie Palacios doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Colton Cowser. Carson Williams scores. Richie Palacios to 3rd.1–3

6Yandy Díaz homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–2

1Yandy Díaz doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Jonathan Aranda scores.1–1

1Taylor Ward homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.