Angels at Rays
LAA5–
TB8Last play · Vaughn Grissom pops out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
Win probability
Rays100%
LAA 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 1 TB
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+143 / -173
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rays favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yandy Díaz homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Cedric Mullins scores. (inning 7) — +44% Rays
8Wade Meckler grounds out, shortstop Oliver Dunn to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Vaughn Grissom scores.5–8
8Jo Adell grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Mike Trout scores. Vaughn Grissom to 3rd.4–8
8Vaughn Grissom doubles (8) on a fly ball to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 3rd.3–8
7Nick Fortes out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Brent Suter to first baseman Vaughn Grissom. Richie Palacios scores.2–8
7Richie Palacios triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Chandler Simpson scores. Oliver Dunn scores.2–7
7Oliver Dunn singles on a bunt ground ball to second baseman Oswald Peraza. Junior Caminero scores. Chandler Simpson to 2nd.2–5
7Jonathan Aranda homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.2–4
7Yandy Díaz homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Cedric Mullins scores.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.