Orioles at Rays

Scoreboard

BAL3–TB5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · BAL 21-29 · TB 33-15

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	9	0
TB	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	·	5	6	0

Last play · Adley Rutschman grounds out, third baseman Oliver Dunn to first baseman Ryan Vilade.

Win probability

Rays100%

BAL 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 1 – 1 TB

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 49% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-103 / -117

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Chandler Simpson scores. Oliver Dunn scores. (inning 8) — +45% Rays

Scoring plays

BAL–TB · 7 total

8Jonny DeLuca lines out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.3–5

8Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Jonathan Aranda scores. Ryan Vilade to 3rd.3–4

8Jonathan Aranda doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Chandler Simpson scores. Oliver Dunn scores.3–3

6Samuel Basallo homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.3–1

6Pete Alonso homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.2–1

3Pete Alonso singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Taylor Ward scores. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.1–1

2Hunter Feduccia homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.