Angels at Rays
Last play · Donovan Walton grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
Win probability
Rays100%
LAA 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 3 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+168 / -205
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rays favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Logan O'Hoppe homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — -14% Angels
7Yandy Díaz walks. Chandler Simpson scores. Ben Williamson to 3rd. Taylor Walls to 2nd.2–5
7Ben Williamson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Junior Caminero scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd.2–4
7Logan O'Hoppe homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
3Cedric Mullins walks. Richie Palacios scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd. Victor Mesa Jr. to 2nd.1–3
3Victor Mesa Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Jonathan Aranda scores. Richie Palacios to 3rd. Junior Caminero to 2nd.1–2
2Nick Madrigal flies out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.1–1
1Jonathan Aranda homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
