Angels at Rays
LAA14–
TB3Last play · Chandler Simpson pops out to shortstop Oswald Peraza.
Win probability
Rays0%
LAA 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 6 – 3 TB
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+143 / -173
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rays favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wade Meckler hits a grand slam (2) to right field. Mike Trout scores. Vaughn Grissom scores. Jorge Soler scores. (inning 1) — -38% Angels
9Sebastián Rivero doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins, deflected by left fielder Chandler Simpson. Donovan Walton scores.14–3
9Oswald Peraza homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.13–3
9Jo Adell homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Mike Trout scores. Jose Siri scores.12–3
9Angels challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Jose Siri grounds into a force out, second baseman Ben Williamson to shortstop Taylor Walls. Adam Frazier scores. Mike Trout to 3rd. Vaughn Grissom out at 2nd. Jose Siri to 1st.9–3
9Vaughn Grissom hit by pitch. Sebastián Rivero scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd. Mike Trout to 2nd.8–3
7Jorge Soler strikes out swinging.7–3
5Ryan Vilade grounds out, shortstop Zach Neto to first baseman Vaughn Grissom. Jonathan Aranda scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.6–3
5Junior Caminero doubles (8) on a ground ball to shortstop Zach Neto, deflected by third baseman Donovan Walton. Yandy Díaz scores. Jonathan Aranda to 3rd.6–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.