Royals at Rays

Scoreboard

KC2–TB13

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · KC 34-48 · TB 45-33

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0
TB	2	0	0	3	2	0	1	5	·	13	15	0

Last play · Jac Caglianone strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Rays100%

KC 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

KC 0 – 7 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+123 / -149

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Junior Caminero homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Jonathan Aranda scores. (inning 1) — +17% Rays

Scoring plays

KC–TB · 8 total

9Carter Jensen homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Starling Marte scores.2–13

8Junior Caminero homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Fortes scores. Jonathan Aranda scores.0–13

8Nick Fortes singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Taylor Walls scores.0–10

8Hunter Feduccia grounds out, shortstop Josh Rojas to first baseman Jac Caglianone. Cedric Mullins scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd.0–9

7Jonathan Aranda doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Yandy Díaz scores.0–8

5Chandler Simpson doubles (6) on a ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Richie Palacios scores.0–7

5Junior Caminero homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.0–6

4Victor Mesa Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Cedric Mullins scores. Taylor Walls scores.0–5

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.