Mariners at Rays

Scoreboard

SEA2–TB7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · SEA 47-48 · TB 55-37

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	5	0
TB	0	0	1	1	2	0	3	0	·	7	14	0

Last play · Josh Naylor grounds out, pitcher Kevin Kelly to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Win probability

Rays100%

SEA 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 1 – 4 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+112 / -135

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Richie Palacios homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — +16% Rays

Scoring plays

SEA–TB · 8 total

7Taylor Walls out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Chandler Simpson scores.2–7

7Junior Caminero homers (28) on a fly ball to right field. Jonathan Aranda scores.2–6

6Dominic Canzone grounds into a force out, second baseman Richie Palacios to shortstop Taylor Walls. J.P. Crawford scores. Randy Arozarena out at 2nd. Dominic Canzone to 1st.2–4

5Victor Mesa Jr. homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4

5Cedric Mullins homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.1–3

5Cole Young homers (11) on a line drive to right center field.1–2

4Richie Palacios homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–2

3Chandler Simpson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Luke Raley. Junior Caminero scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.