White Sox at Rays
Last play · Richie Palacios called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rays0%
CWS 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 4 – 1 TB
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+119 / -144
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rays favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Benintendi homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — -16% White Sox
6Colson Montgomery homers (25) on a fly ball to right field. Munetaka Murakami scores.6–1
4Junior Caminero homers (30) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
3Munetaka Murakami homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field. Sam Antonacci scores.4–0
2Andrew Benintendi homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
1Miguel Vargas homers (23) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
