White Sox at Rays
Last play · Randal Grichuk strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
CWS 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 1 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+142 / -172
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rays favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Fortes singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Jonny DeLuca scores. (inning 5) — +15% Rays
5Nick Fortes singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Jonny DeLuca scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
