White Sox at Rays
Last play · Jonathan Aranda grounds out, first baseman Miguel Vargas to pitcher Duncan Davitt.
Win probability
Rays0%
CWS 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 3 – 0 TB
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rays favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Benintendi homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 4) — -16% White Sox
9Ben Williamson homers (3) on a line drive to left field.9–1
9Miguel Vargas homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field. Luisangel Acuña scores.9–0
9Everson Pereira homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Chase Meidroth scores.7–0
6Everson Pereira doubles (5) on a fly ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Tristan Peters scores. Chase Meidroth scores.5–0
4Andrew Benintendi homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
1Tristan Peters strikes out swinging.2–0
1Andrew Benintendi reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Griffin Jax. Sam Antonacci scores. Colson Montgomery to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
