Orioles at Rays

Scoreboard

BAL4–TB3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · BAL 60-63 · TB 74-48

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
BAL	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	9	1
TB	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	11	1

Last play · Richie Palacios strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Rays0%

BAL 100%TB 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 2 – 1 TB

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 47.3% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+131 / -141

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Junior Caminero singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Jorge Mateo scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Rays

Scoring plays

BAL–TB · 7 total

10Tyler O'Neill singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Colton Cowser scores.4–3

9Junior Caminero singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Jorge Mateo scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.3–3

6Cedric Mullins triples (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Liam Hicks scores.3–2

6Christian Encarnacion-Strand homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1

5Pete Alonso homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1

3Yandy Díaz grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.1–1

2Leody Taveras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Gunnar Henderson scores. Christian Franklin to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.