Orioles at Rays

Scoreboard

BAL10–TB2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · BAL 61-63 · TB 74-49

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	10	9	0
TB	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	9	0

Last play · Yandy Díaz pops out to first baseman Coby Mayo in foul territory.

Win probability

Rays0%

BAL 100%TB 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 3 – 1 TB

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7.5 ↓

fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+126 / -136

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Pete Alonso doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Coby Mayo scores. Jackson Holliday scores. (inning 5) — -28% Orioles

Scoring plays

BAL–TB · 7 total

6Jorge Mateo singles on a line drive to right fielder Leody Taveras. Ryan Vilade scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd.10–2

6Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Jackson Holliday scores. Pete Alonso scores. Gunnar Henderson scores.10–1

6Rays challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jackson Holliday doubles (9) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Coby Mayo scores. Yohel Pozo scores.7–1

6Colton Cowser homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Leody Taveras scores.5–1

5Pete Alonso doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Coby Mayo scores. Jackson Holliday scores.3–1

5Jackson Holliday singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Leody Taveras scores. Coby Mayo to 2nd.1–1

4Ryan Vilade homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.