Padres at Rays

Scoreboard

SD6–TB7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · SD 72-64 · TB 81-54

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	6	10	1
TB	1	0	1	0	0	1	4	0	·	7	11	0

Last play · Jackson Merrill grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Win probability

Rays100%

SD 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 1 – 2 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -128

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Yandy Díaz singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Richie Palacios scores. Cedric Mullins scores. Taylor Walls scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd. Throwing error by second baseman Luis Rengifo, assist to center fielder Jackson Merrill. (inning 7) — +49% Rays

Scoring plays

SD–TB · 8 total

7Chandler Simpson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dustin Harris. Jorge Mateo scores. Junior Caminero to 2nd.6–7

7Yandy Díaz singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Richie Palacios scores. Cedric Mullins scores. Taylor Walls scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd. Throwing error by second baseman Luis Rengifo, assist to center fielder Jackson Merrill.6–6

7Ty France strikes out swinging.6–3

7Manny Machado singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Luis Rengifo scores. Dustin Harris scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.5–3

6Junior Caminero homers (36) on a line drive to center field.3–3

6Ty France homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Manny Machado scores.3–2

3Jonathan Aranda homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.1–2

3Jake Cronenworth doubles (11) on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Dustin Harris scores.1–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.