Astros at Rays

Scoreboard

HOU1–TB3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · HOU 75-73 · TB 88-59

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	9	0
TB	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	4	0

Last play · Junior Caminero homers (40) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonny DeLuca scores.

Win probability

Rays100%

HOU 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 1 – 1 TB

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+162 / -198

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Junior Caminero homers (40) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonny DeLuca scores. (inning 9) — +24% Rays

Scoring plays

HOU–TB · 3 total

9Junior Caminero homers (40) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonny DeLuca scores.1–3

5Victor Mesa Jr. homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1

4Yainer Diaz grounds into a force out, second baseman Richie Palacios to shortstop Jorge Mateo. Isaac Paredes scores. Daulton Varsho out at 2nd. Yainer Diaz to 1st.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.