Athletics at Rangers
Last play · Corey Seager grounds out, first baseman Nick Kurtz to pitcher Jack Perkins.
Win probability
Rangers0%
ATH 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 2 – 0 TEX
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+103 / -124
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Cortes triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Evan Carter. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Brent Rooker scores. (inning 1) — -21% Athletics
6Evan Carter hits a sacrifice bunt. Throwing error by pitcher Jacob Lopez. Josh Jung scores. Evan Carter to 1st.2–1
1Carlos Cortes triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Evan Carter. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Brent Rooker scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
