Athletics at Rangers
Last play · Nick Kurtz grounds out, third baseman Josh Jung to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Rangers100%
ATH 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 3 – 2 TEX
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -132
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Jung homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Corey Seager scores. (inning 6) — +34% Rangers
6Josh Jung homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Corey Seager scores.3–4
3Corey Seager singles on a line drive to center fielder Zack Gelof. Evan Carter scores. Sam Haggerty to 3rd.3–2
3Brandon Nimmo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Danny Jansen scores.3–1
3Jacob Wilson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Nick Kurtz scores. Colby Thomas to 3rd.3–0
3Colby Thomas singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Evan Carter. Shea Langeliers scores. Nick Kurtz to 2nd.2–0
2Darell Hernaiz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Haggerty. Jacob Wilson scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
