Athletics at Rangers
Last play · Josh Smith flies out to right fielder Lawrence Butler.
Win probability
Rangers0%
ATH 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 6 – 1 TEX
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -132
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Cortes homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Zack Gelof scores. Nick Kurtz scores. (inning 5) — -17% Athletics
9Zack Gelof homers (1) on a line drive to left field. Jeff McNeil scores.8–1
5Carlos Cortes homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Zack Gelof scores. Nick Kurtz scores.6–1
4Josh Jung hits a ground-rule double (9) on a line drive to left field. Corey Seager scores.3–1
1Tyler Soderstrom homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
1Carlos Cortes homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
1Nick Kurtz homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
