Guardians at Rangers
Last play · Brayan Rocchio strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers100%
CLE 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 0 TEX
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+104 / -126
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corey Seager homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Wyatt Langford scores. (inning 6) — +34% Rangers
6Corey Seager homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Wyatt Langford scores.2–3
6Kyle Higashioka homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
4Austin Hedges singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Helman. Steven Kwan scores.2–0
1Travis Bazzana homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
