Guardians at Rangers
Last play · Josh Jung grounds into a double play, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Kyle Manzardo. Justin Foscue out at 2nd. Josh Jung out at 1st.
Win probability
Rangers0%
CLE 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 5 – 0 TEX
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+104 / -126
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Ramírez homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 4) — -20% Guardians
8Travis Bazzana grounds into a force out, shortstop Corey Seager to second baseman Ezequiel Duran. Steven Kwan scores. Brayan Rocchio out at 2nd. Travis Bazzana to 1st.6–0
5Daniel Schneemann singles on a ground ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Kyle Manzardo scores.5–0
5Kyle Manzardo doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Chase DeLauter scores.4–0
5Chase DeLauter singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. José Ramírez scores.3–0
5Brayan Rocchio homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
4José Ramírez homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
