Angels at Rangers
Last play · Alejandro Osuna grounds out, pitcher Mitch Farris to first baseman Vaughn Grissom.
Win probability
Rangers0%
LAA 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 7 – 0 TEX
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+119 / -143
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jo Adell homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Vaughn Grissom scores. (inning 4) — -21% Angels
9Jose Siri singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. Denzer Guzman scores.13–1
9Oswald Peraza out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alejandro Osuna. Jo Adell scores. Denzer Guzman to 3rd.12–1
8Kyle Higashioka homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.11–1
8Mike Trout homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Josh Lowe scores.11–0
6Vaughn Grissom doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Josh Lowe scores. Zach Neto scores.9–0
5Jo Adell homers (13) on a line drive to center field. Mike Trout scores. Vaughn Grissom scores.7–0
5Vaughn Grissom singles on a ground ball to left fielder Alejandro Osuna. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 3rd.4–0
4Jo Adell homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Vaughn Grissom scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
