White Sox at Rangers
Last play · Chase Meidroth grounds out, shortstop Nicky Lopez to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Rangers100%
CWS 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 9 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.3% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-122 / +101
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Wyatt Langford scores. (inning 1) — +17% Rangers
6Ezequiel Duran singles on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Brandon Nimmo scores.0–10
5Wyatt Langford homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Alejandro Osuna scores.0–9
5Alejandro Osuna singles on a ground ball to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Ezequiel Duran scores. Cam Cauley scores.0–7
4Nicky Lopez singles on a line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Alejandro Osuna scores. Justin Foscue to 2nd.0–5
4Alejandro Osuna singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Elias Díaz scores.0–4
3Jake Burger doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Josh Jung scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd.0–3
1Brandon Nimmo homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Wyatt Langford scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
