Giants at Rangers
SF5–
TEX1Last play · Cam Cauley grounds into a double play, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Osleivis Basabe to first baseman Rafael Devers. Elias Díaz out at 2nd. Cam Cauley out at 1st.
Win probability
Rangers0%
SF 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 3 – 0 TEX
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -187
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drew Gilbert singles on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Daniel Susac scores. Drew Gilbert to 3rd. Fielding error by right fielder Brandon Nimmo. (inning 2) — -15% Giants
9Ezequiel Duran homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
9Jung Hoo Lee out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Evan Carter. Grant McCray scores.5–0
8Jung Hoo Lee homers (8) on a line drive to right center field.4–0
3Jung Hoo Lee homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
2Osleivis Basabe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Drew Gilbert scores.2–0
2Drew Gilbert singles on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Daniel Susac scores. Drew Gilbert to 3rd. Fielding error by right fielder Brandon Nimmo.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.