Giants at Rangers
Last play · Jung Hoo Lee grounds out, pitcher Cole Winn to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Rangers100%
SF 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 5 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+138 / -147
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Justin Foscue triples (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Eddys Leonard. Brandon Nimmo scores. Jake Burger scores. (inning 3) — +17% Rangers
8Nicky Lopez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Grant McCray. Jake Burger scores. Joc Pederson to 2nd.0–6
5Brandon Nimmo homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.0–5
3Elias Díaz doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder Eddys Leonard. Justin Foscue scores.0–4
3Justin Foscue triples (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Eddys Leonard. Brandon Nimmo scores. Jake Burger scores.0–3
3Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Wyatt Langford scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
