Giants at Rangers
Last play · Ezequiel Duran hits a ground-rule double (22) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Burger scores. Corey Seager to 3rd.
Win probability
Rangers100%
SF 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 2 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+138 / -147
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Eldridge singles on a ground ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Drew Gilbert scores. Grant McCray scores. (inning 9) — -44% Giants
9Ezequiel Duran hits a ground-rule double (22) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Burger scores. Corey Seager to 3rd.4–5
9Bryce Eldridge singles on a ground ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Drew Gilbert scores. Grant McCray scores.4–4
8Ezequiel Duran doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Wyatt Langford scores. Corey Seager scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd.2–4
7Osleivis Basabe homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Drew Gilbert scores.2–2
1Ezequiel Duran singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Corey Seager scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd.0–2
1Brandon Nimmo doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Joc Pederson scores. Corey Seager to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
