Angels at Rangers
Last play · Brandon Nimmo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers0%
LAA 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 0 TEX
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 52.1% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+152 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Moisés Ballesteros doubles (8) on a fly ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Mike Trout scores. (inning 6) — -14% Angels
8Vaughn Grissom singles on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Zach Neto scores.3–0
6Moisés Ballesteros doubles (8) on a fly ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Mike Trout scores.2–0
1Mike Trout singles on a fly ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Zach Neto scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
