Angels at Rangers
Last play · Moisés Ballesteros strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers100%
LAA 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 5 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+143 / -154
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ezequiel Duran homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 2) — +15% Rangers
8Gustavo Campero singles on a fly ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Vaughn Grissom scores.3–5
8Josh Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Moisés Ballesteros scores.2–5
8Zach Neto homers (22) on a fly ball to left center field.1–5
5Brandon Nimmo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jose Siri. Corey Seager scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd.0–5
5Elias Díaz homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
2Elias Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jose Siri. Cody Freeman scores.0–3
2Cody Freeman triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Logan O'Hoppe scores.0–2
2Ezequiel Duran homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
