Athletics at Rangers
Last play · Jeff McNeil grounds out, first baseman Jake Burger to pitcher Ben Peoples.
Win probability
Rangers100%
ATH 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 0 – 7 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+182 / -224
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Elias Díaz grounds out, shortstop Darell Hernaiz to first baseman Tommy White. Brandon Nimmo scores. Jake Burger to 3rd. (inning 2) — +10% Rangers
9Darell Hernaiz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Evan Carter. Carlos Cortes scores.1–8
8Cody Freeman singles on a line drive to left fielder Carlos Cortes. Logan O'Hoppe scores.0–8
5Evan Carter grounds into a force out, first baseman Tommy White to shortstop Darell Hernaiz. Wyatt Langford scores. Jake Burger out at 2nd. Evan Carter to 1st.0–7
5Jake Burger singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Corey Seager scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd.0–6
5Brandon Nimmo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Carlos Cortes. Ezequiel Duran scores. Corey Seager to 3rd.0–5
4Justin Foscue homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
3Brandon Nimmo singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Corey Seager scores.0–3
2Cody Freeman singles on a line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Jake Burger scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
