Athletics at Rangers
ATH5–
TEX8Last play · Henry Bolte called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rangers100%
ATH 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 1 – 5 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+137 / -166
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Rangers favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Joc Pederson scores. Corey Seager scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd. (inning 5) — +18% Rangers
9Jeff McNeil homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Michael Stefanic scores.5–8
8Lawrence Butler out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Evan Carter. Carlos Cortes scores.3–8
7Michael Stefanic singles on a ground ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Zack Gelof scores. Jonah Heim to 2nd.2–8
6Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler, deflected by second baseman Michael Stefanic. Wyatt Langford scores.1–8
6Corey Seager out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Carlos Cortes. Elias Díaz scores.1–7
6Logan O'Hoppe out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Carlos Cortes. Evan Carter scores. Elias Díaz to 3rd.1–6
5Ezequiel Duran grounds out, second baseman Michael Stefanic to first baseman Jeff McNeil. Wyatt Langford scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.1–5
5Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Joc Pederson scores. Corey Seager scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.