Rockies at Blue Jays
Last play · Jordan Beck flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
COL 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 2 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+218 / -271
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Daulton Varsho scores. Tyler Heineman to 3rd. George Springer to 2nd. (inning 5) — +15% Blue Jays
7Ernie Clement doubles (3) on a fly ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Nathan Lukes scores.1–5
7Blue Jays challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Beck. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Kazuma Okamoto out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Jordan Beck to first baseman Willi Castro to third baseman Kyle Karros.1–4
7Kazuma Okamoto singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Myles Straw scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.1–3
6Hunter Goodman homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. walks. Tyler Heineman scores. George Springer to 3rd. Jesús Sánchez to 2nd.0–2
5Jesús Sánchez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Daulton Varsho scores. Tyler Heineman to 3rd. George Springer to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
