Angels at Blue Jays
Last play · Yoán Moncada flies out to left fielder Yohendrick Piñango.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
LAA 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 2 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ernie Clement out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 3rd. (inning 3) — +12% Blue Jays
3Ernie Clement out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 3rd.0–2
3Kazuma Okamoto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
