Angels at Blue Jays
LAA1–
TOR14Last play · Zach Neto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
LAA 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 8 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+153 / -186
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrés Giménez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Josh Lowe. Jesús Sánchez scores. (inning 4) — +13% Blue Jays
8Davis Schneider singles on a line drive to left fielder Josh Lowe. Brandon Valenzuela scores. Myles Straw to 2nd.1–14
8Tyler Heineman grounds out, second baseman Vaughn Grissom to first baseman Nolan Schanuel. Ernie Clement scores. Brandon Valenzuela to 3rd.1–13
8Brandon Valenzuela doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Daulton Varsho scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd.1–12
8Jesús Sánchez homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–11
8Adam Frazier doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Addison Barger. Bryce Teodosio scores. Nolan Schanuel to 3rd.1–10
7Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Lowe. Brandon Valenzuela scores. George Springer to 2nd.0–10
7Ernie Clement homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.0–9
5Brandon Valenzuela homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Daulton Varsho scores. Ernie Clement scores.0–8
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.