Angels at Blue Jays
Last play · Lenyn Sosa strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
LAA 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 4 – 1 TOR
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-102 / -118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oswald Peraza homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Nolan Schanuel scores. (inning 5) — -31% Angels
9Jo Adell homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.6–1
6Jo Adell homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
5Vaughn Grissom doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout scores. Vaughn Grissom out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Daulton Varsho to shortstop Andrés Giménez to third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to shortstop Andrés Giménez.4–1
5Oswald Peraza homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Nolan Schanuel scores.2–1
1Kazuma Okamoto doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jo Adell. Daulton Varsho scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
