Pirates at Blue Jays

Scoreboard

PIT2–TOR6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Rogers Centre · PIT 26-25 · TOR 24-27

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	7	3
TOR	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	·	6	5	0

Last play · Jake Mangum grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Win probability

Blue Jays100%

PIT 0%TOR 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 1 – 3 TOR

Blue Jays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 49.7% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+139 / -168

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Blue Jays favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Yohendrick Piñango doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Daulton Varsho scores. (inning 3) — +23% Blue Jays

Scoring plays

PIT–TOR · 6 total

8George Springer hits a ground-rule double (6) on a line drive down the right-field line. Myles Straw scores. Brandon Valenzuela scores.2–6

8Jesús Sánchez doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Ernie Clement scores.2–4

8Bryan Reynolds grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Brandon Lowe scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd.2–3

3Yohendrick Piñango doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Daulton Varsho scores.1–3

3Daulton Varsho reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Spencer Horwitz. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Daulton Varsho to 2nd. Throwing error by first baseman Spencer Horwitz.1–1

1Spencer Horwitz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Brandon Lowe scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.