Rays at Blue Jays
Last play · Daulton Varsho hits a grand slam (5) to left field. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Kazuma Okamoto scores.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
TB 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 0 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 51.3% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho hits a grand slam (5) to left field. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Kazuma Okamoto scores. (inning 10) — +71% Blue Jays
10Daulton Varsho hits a grand slam (5) to left field. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Kazuma Okamoto scores.3–5
10Yandy Díaz singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Ben Williamson scores.3–1
10Ben Williamson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Chandler Simpson scores.2–1
8Kazuma Okamoto out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Chandler Simpson. George Springer scores.1–1
7Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Jonathan Aranda scores. Jake Fraley to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
