Pirates at Blue Jays

Scoreboard

PIT4–TOR1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Rogers Centre · PIT 27-26 · TOR 25-28

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	6	0
TOR	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0

Last play · Daulton Varsho strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Blue Jays0%

PIT 100%TOR 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 1 TOR

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+145 / -176

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Blue Jays favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Esmerlyn Valdez homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Endy Rodríguez scores. (inning 6) — -24% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–TOR · 4 total

6Esmerlyn Valdez homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Endy Rodríguez scores.4–1

4Ernie Clement singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Yohendrick Piñango to 2nd.2–1

2Oneil Cruz homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.2–0

1Spencer Horwitz homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.