Orioles at Blue Jays

Scoreboard

BAL4–TOR6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Rogers Centre · BAL 31-34 · TOR 31-34

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	4	6	0
TOR	0	1	4	0	1	0	0	0	·	6	12	0

Last play · Blaze Alexander grounds out sharply, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Win probability

Blue Jays100%

BAL 0%TOR 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 1 – 6 TOR

Blue Jays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 50% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Blue Jays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ernie Clement homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Jesús Sánchez scores. (inning 3) — +27% Blue Jays

Scoring plays

BAL–TOR · 7 total

7Blaze Alexander homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.4–6

6Pete Alonso homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Gunnar Henderson scores.3–6

5Brandon Valenzuela out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Colton Cowser. Ernie Clement scores.1–6

3Andrés Giménez singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Colton Cowser. Brandon Valenzuela scores. Kazuma Okamoto out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Colton Cowser to third baseman Coby Mayo.1–5

3Ernie Clement homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Jesús Sánchez scores.1–4

2Kazuma Okamoto singles on a line drive to left fielder Blaze Alexander. Ernie Clement scores. Brandon Valenzuela to 3rd.1–1

2Colton Cowser homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.