Astros at Blue Jays

Scoreboard

HOU2–TOR4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Rogers Centre · HOU 37-43 · TOR 39-39

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5	1
TOR	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	·	4	11	0

Last play · Taylor Trammell called out on strikes.

Win probability

Blue Jays100%

HOU 0%TOR 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 1 – 2 TOR

Blue Jays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+113 / -136

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Blue Jays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Myles Straw out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Daulton Varsho scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 3rd. (inning 7) — +22% Blue Jays

Scoring plays

HOU–TOR · 6 total

8Alejandro Kirk out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. George Springer scores.2–4

7Myles Straw out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Daulton Varsho scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 3rd.2–3

6Jose Altuve singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Yordan Alvarez scores. Christian Walker to 3rd.2–2

4Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Andrés Giménez scores.1–2

2Kazuma Okamoto homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1

1Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Jeremy Peña scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.