Astros at Blue Jays

Scoreboard

HOU9–TOR7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Rogers Centre · HOU 38-43 · TOR 39-40

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
HOU	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	9	15	1
TOR	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	7	13	1

Last play · Daulton Varsho grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Christian Walker.

Win probability

Blue Jays0%

HOU 100%TOR 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 4 – 2 TOR

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+109 / -132

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Blue Jays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Joey Loperfido homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez scores. (inning 11) — -55% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–TOR · 8 total

11Kazuma Okamoto singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.9–7

11Joey Loperfido homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez scores.9–6

9Cam Smith out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Davis Schneider. Yordan Alvarez scores.6–6

9Blue Jays challenged (catcher interference), call on the field was upheld: Joey Loperfido reaches on catcher interference by Brandon Valenzuela. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd. Isaac Paredes to 2nd. Joey Loperfido to 1st.5–6

8Kazuma Okamoto singles on a line drive to left fielder Brice Matthews. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 2nd.4–6

7Daulton Varsho homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Kazuma Okamoto scores.4–4

4Luis Urías homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Daulton Varsho scores.4–2

4Taylor Trammell homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.4–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.