Astros at Blue Jays

Scoreboard

HOU3–TOR1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Rogers Centre · HOU 39-43 · TOR 39-41

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	0
TOR	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	2

Last play · Yainer Diaz challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Daulton Varsho called out on strikes.

Win probability

Blue Jays0%

HOU 100%TOR 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 1 – 1 TOR

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -144

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Blue Jays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Yainer Diaz called out on strikes. (inning 8) — -26% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–TOR · 4 total

9Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ernie Clement. Brice Matthews scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.3–1

8Yainer Diaz called out on strikes.2–1

1Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Nathan Lukes homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.1–1

1Isaac Paredes doubles (15) on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho, deflected by left fielder Davis Schneider. Jeremy Peña scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.