Mets at Blue Jays

Scoreboard

NYM3–TOR0

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Rogers Centre · NYM 36-50 · TOR 40-46

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
NYM	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3	7	0
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1

Last play · Myles Straw grounds out, third baseman Bo Bichette to first baseman Jared Young.

Win probability

Blue Jays0%

NYM 100%TOR 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

NYM 1 – 0 TOR

Mets led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-117 / -103

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Blue Jays favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓

Biggest swing · Francisco Alvarez homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 5) — -22% Mets

Scoring plays

NYM–TOR · 3 total

9Brett Baty out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. A.J. Ewing scores.3–0

7Luis Torrens homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.2–0

5Francisco Alvarez homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.